There might be some leeway for former president Jacob Zuma in the contempt of court case brought by the Commission of Inquiry into Allegations of State Capture even if the Constitutional Court (ConCourt) finds him guilty, a political analyst says.
One of the reasons Zuma has argued for his defiance was that he was still waiting for the outcome of his Pretoria high court application challenging Deputy Chief Justice Raymond Zondo’s decision in November 2020 not to recuse himself from hearing his testimony.
While the ConCourt has since reserved judgment, political analyst Lukhona Mnguni says the court would have to consider the recusal application before delivering its ruling.
“Whatever the Constitutional Court rules, it would have to balance all those issues and I think there is a bit of reluctance from the court to be seen as trying to rescue the work of the commission, but we will have to see what the final report says,” he told The Citizen on Tuesday.
Mnguni said the court might recommend Zuma’s arrest as the last remedy to force him to appear before the commission.
“There might be a bit of leeway where even if Zuma is deemed to have been in contempt of court, the judges will probably give a structural interdict that forces him to do certain things.
“Jailing Zuma or imprisonment would be the last of the issues the judges would actually propose as the necessary remedy for this situation,” he said.
The former president faces the possibility of a prison term of two years if he is found guilty of contempt of court.
On Zuma’s accusations of the ANC failing to protect him, the expert said, the claims made by the former president were “surprising in many ways”.
“Zuma’s assertions are surprising in many ways because he turned the ANC into a well-oiled purposed vehicle for his defence. Whether it was the Guptas landing at Waterkloof, the ANC came out and defended him. Whether it was disagreements with the Public Protector report, the ANC came out and did all sorts of shenanigans,” he said.
Mnguni further noted that while Zuma continues to defend himself, he might be considered guilty in some of the allegations levelled against him since he has never submitted himself to any form of accountability without trying to frustrate the process.
He added that Zuma’s arrest could rattle the country because of the potential reaction of his supporters, leaving the public in a time of “great anxiety”.