POLOKWANE – Limpopo may be heading for a hotter and drier summer, with below-normal rainfall predicted, raising concerns about worsening drought conditions and heat-related health risks.

The South African Weather Service (SAWS) released its seasonal outlook, warning that while many parts of South Africa may see above-average rainfall, Limpopo and parts of Mpumalanga are expected to experience below-normal rainfall during the coming summer season.

The SAWS’ communications officer, Tammy Fray says this could exacerbate existing drought conditions in the province, with farmers particularly urged to take proactive steps such as soil and water conservation, improved harvesting and storage, and proper drainage systems to manage the impacts.

At the same time, temperatures across Limpopo are forecast to be hotter than usual, with both minimum and maximum temperatures rising above normal.

“These conditions heighten the risk of heat-related illnesses, while also creating a favourable environment for the spread of foodborne pathogens,” Fray said.

While the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has shifted into a neutral state, meteorologists say rapid cooling in recent weeks could lead to a weak La Niña event.

According to the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), La Niña happens when the surface of the Pacific Ocean cools down more than usual in certain areas, which also affects winds, air pressure and rainfall around the world.

Its impacts are often the opposite of El Niño.

For example, places that usually get dry weather during El Niño may see more rain during La Niña.

For most of the north-eastern regions of the country, the SAWS says this translates to above-normal rainfall and a higher likelihood of flooding.

However, Limpopo is expected to remain an exception to the trend, with less rain predicted

“Though summer is a welcome respite from winter, the SAWS reminds South Africans that climate warming requires proactive measures. Protect yourself during hot days and avoid areas prone to flooding where drainage is insufficient,” the weather service said.