William Saunderson-Meyer
3 minute read
16 Jul 2022
5:00 am

Will ANC walk if booted out?

William Saunderson-Meyer

In the badlands of KwaZulu-Natal, there’s a case study unfolding on how the ANC responds to the loss of power

A disgruntled member of the ruling African National Congress (ANC) holds an ANC flag during a march to Luthuli House, 15 July 2022, in Johannesburg. Picture: Michel Bega

If the ANC is finally shown the door by the electorate, will it exit voluntarily? The indications are not promising. African history is not on the side of the optimists, needless to say. Nor is the South African experience. When Cape Town and the Western Cape fell to the opposition, in 2006 and 2009, the ANC tried a variety of underhand stratagems to regain power, but these were relatively mild and amateurish. At that stage, the ANC was riding high in confidence. It had in 2004 won a fraction under 70% of the national vote. In the 2009 general election,...