Jack Milner
2 minute read
29 Mar 2017
10:28 am

Cidada the form filly

Jack Milner

B Twenty One stands out as the main threat.

FORM FILLY. Cidada seems to have the field in Race 7 at Turffontien tomorrow well beaten but the distance could play a big role.

Racing is back on the Turffontein Inside track tomorrow but while there appear to be some good bets on this 10-race card, most of them do not come into the exotics. Most of the Pick 6 legs look particularly competitive and as a result one will have to take a chance some­where if you are to catch this lu­crative bet.

Although handicaps for fillies and mares are notorious for up­sets, the best opportunity could come up in Race 7 where Alec Laird sends out Cidada to contest a FM 73 Handicap over 2600m.

On form this beautifully bred daughter of Galileo has this field well beaten. In January, over 2000m on the Standside track, Cidada had Silken 5.50 lengths be­hind her,

B Twenty One was another 0.50 lengths back with Cranberry Crush eight lengths off Laird’s fil­ly. Silken is 4kg better off, B Twen­ty One has a 2.5kg swing in her favour while Cranberry Crush, thanks to a 2.5kg claimer, is 6.5kg better off.

On that run only Silken has a chance of getting close enough to reverse the result. In addition, on their run behind Balalaika over this course and distance on 26 February, Silken has the beating of Dalley, Cranberry Crush, Cait­lin’s Answer and Vision Of Dahlia. The one exception is B Twenty One who finished 0.75 lengths be­hind Silken and is now 3.5kg bet­ter off for a 0.75 lengths defeat.

If you look at the quality of field in which Cidada has raced lately it is far higher than that of her op­position. Three runs back, when a flying 0.30-length second behind Seal My Fate, the average merit rating was 74. In her penultimate race where she won again over 2000m on the Standside track the average was 68 while in her last race, the Allez France Handicap (Non-Black Type) over 2200m at this track, the average was 80. The average in this race is just 56.

In that race she finished 4.50 lengths behind Patchit Up Baby but she became unbalanced dur­ing the running and had to be eased which affected her chances.

The main concern is whether she will handle the distance. That should not be a problem on breed­ing but one never knows until she has proved it in a race.

Apprentice Calvin Ngcobo has ridden her in most of her starts and is back on board.

B Twenty One handles the course and distance and Mike de Kock’s charge looks the runner to follow Cidada home.