UN: World population to hit 8 billion this year

The forecast by the UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs said the world's population is growing at its slowest pace since 1950.


The world’s population is expected to reach eight billion on November 15, the United Nations forecast Monday in a report that said India will surpass China as the most populous country on earth in 2023.

That overall population milestone “is a reminder of our shared responsibility to care for our planet and a moment to reflect on where we still fall short of our commitments to one another,” Secretary-General Antonio Guterres said, without citing specifics.

“This is an occasion to celebrate our diversity, recognise our common humanity, and marvel at advancements in health that have extended lifespans and dramatically reduced maternal and child mortality rates,” he added.

The forecast by the UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs said the world’s population is growing at its slowest pace since 1950.

It should hit 8.5 billion in 2030 and 9.7 billion in 2050, peaking at around 10.4 billion people in the 2080s before steadying at that level until 2100.

While a net drop in birth rates is observed in several developing countries, more than half of the rise forecast in the world’s population in the coming decades will be concentrated in eight countries, the report said.

It said they are the Democratic Republic of Congo, Egypt, Ethiopia, India, Nigeria, Pakistan, the Philippines and Tanzania.

This dramatic growth has been driven largely by increasing numbers of people surviving to reproductive age and has been accompanied by major changes in fertility rates, increasing urbanization and accelerating migration.

These trends will have far-reaching implications for generations to come.
The world’s population is expected to reach 9.7 billion in 2050 and could peak at nearly 11 billion around 2100.  

NOW READ: The people of SA by numbers

Read more on these topics

United Nations (UN)

Access premium news and stories

Access to the top content, vouchers and other member only benefits