Sipho Mabena
Premium Journalist
4 minute read
18 Mar 2021
5:05 am

SA will reach herd immunity by 2039 at current vaccination pace

Sipho Mabena

Dr Jo Barnes, Stellenbosch University epidemiologist, does not think the 67% target can be reached, unless more than 95,000 are vaccinated per day.

The second batch of the Johnson & Johnson (J&J) Covid-19 vaccine. Picture Screengrab.

Scientists agree that South Africa needs to drastically improve its vaccine rollout programme, if it hopes to reach the targeted 40 million vaccinated citizens by the end of the year, after it was revealed the country is currently about 18 years off the required pace. At the start of the vaccination programme earlier this year, government a target of of vaccinating 67% of the South African population for Covid-19 herd immunity. Based on the calculations from Media Hack Collective’s vaccination tracking tool, at the current pace of vaccinations, it will take exactly 18 years, one month and three days to...